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2024-12-14 12:31:36

CCCC Real Estate: The loan of more than 15 billion yuan from the controlling shareholder will expire next year, and will be renewed for one year after negotiation. On December 12th, CCCC Real Estate (000736.SZ) announced that the principal balance of the loan of the company and its holding subsidiaries from the controlling shareholder CCCC Real Estate Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "real estate group") is 15.091 billion yuan, and the annual interest rate is 7%. The above loan will be in 2020. According to CCCC Real Estate, according to the actual operation of the company, after consultation with the real estate group, the company plans to extend the above-mentioned loan of 15.091 billion yuan for one year from the maturity date, with the annual interest rate not exceeding 7%.CICC: Depleting inventories to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. In terms of real estate, the meeting will "continue to push the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" as the primary task of risk prevention. The research department of CICC believes that destocking to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. First, control the supply of new land; second, optimize the supply structure of existing land and commercial housing; it is expected that the supply optimization policies such as land ticket, land exchange and commercial housing reform will be further promoted; third, dispose of existing commercial housing; it is expected that the efforts to store unsold commercial housing and existing second-hand housing for affordable housing will be increased; fourth, intensify the implementation of the renovation of urban villages and dilapidated houses.Tianyuan Environmental Protection set up a construction engineering company in Xinjiang. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Xinjiang Tianyuan Construction Engineering Co., Ltd. was established with Xuan Wang as its legal representative and a registered capital of 50 million yuan. Its business scope includes: construction; Subcontracting of construction services; Construction professional work, etc. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is wholly owned by Tianyuan Environmental Protection.


Turkish regulators blocked access to dozens of cryptocurrency exchanges, and the Turkish Capital Markets Board listed websites that allegedly provided unauthorized cryptoasset services to Turkish customers.According to CITIC Securities, it is necessary for deficit ratio to rise to nearly 4%, and mortgage interest rates is expected to fall further. According to Yicai, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. Regarding what it means to change the tone of fiscal policy from "positive" to "more positive", the chief economist of CITIC Securities clearly said that I think it means that the whole fiscal policy will be further expanded next year. First of all, from the perspective of deficit ratio, our deficit ratio is 3% this year and 3% at the beginning of last year. However, we had a special budget adjustment at the end of last year, so the deficit ratio from the end of last year to the end of last year was actually 3.8%. Looking forward to next year, we think that the ratio that may be close to 4% should be the effect that everyone expects to achieve at present. In terms of monetary policy, we can see a series of monetary policies, including further relaxing some restrictions on purchase restriction and loan restriction, including the down payment ratio, and a particularly important one is to reduce the mortgage interest rates. I think these monetary policies will be further promoted in the future, and even further declined in mortgage interest rates, for example.The strength of the policy is in line with expectations. The New Year's market may have started, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) can be used as a key layout. On December 13th, as of midday, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) fell by 2%, with a turnover of 115 million yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and in terms of rising, Yangtze Power leads the rise; In terms of decline, Zijin Mining led the decline. In the news, from December 11th to 12th, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing, which made a systematic plan for next year's economic work. Regarding the highlights of the meeting, CITIC Jiantou said that the meeting of the Central Economic Work Conference continued the main tone of the Politburo meeting on Monday, and made systematic arrangements for economic work next year. Next year's policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the policy strength and direction are in line with our expectations. With the support of policy expectation and liquidity, the current new year's market has been launched, and it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of shock upward. Focus on industries: non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain, etc. Topics of concern: duality and innovation, supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises. You can use the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) to lay out the core assets with one click.


Xiangyang, Hubei Province: Ten years after retirement, the loan amount was raised to 800,000 yuan. According to the news of "Voice of Xiangyang" on WeChat WeChat official account, recently, seven departments, including the Housing and Urban Renewal Bureau of Xiangyang City, Hubei Province, jointly issued "Several Measures for Continuously Promoting the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market in the Central City" to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market in our city. This measure will be implemented as of December 10, 2024. The notice stipulates that the support of housing provident fund should be increased, and the maximum loan amount of housing provident fund should be raised to 800,000 yuan; For new citizens, young people, teachers, medical staff, families with many children, high-level talents to buy new commercial housing and "trade-in" and other housing provident funds, the maximum loan amount can be increased by 20% on the basis of the maximum amount. For those who buy high-quality houses and prefabricated houses, they can rise by 10% on the above basis. Deposited employees have been paid in full for five consecutive years, and the loan period can be extended to 10 years after retirement, and the longest loan period shall not exceed 30 years. Flexible employees who have paid the housing provident fund in full for more than 6 months (inclusive) may apply for housing provident fund loans.Ocean Shipping Group: In the first 11 months, it achieved sales of 30.6 billion yuan. On December 12, Ocean Shipping Group (03377.HK) released unaudited operation data. In November, the company achieved an accumulated sales of about 3.73 billion yuan. The agreed sales floor area is about 346,300 square meters; The average agreed sales price is 10,800 yuan per square meter. In the first 11 months of this year, COSCO achieved a cumulative agreed sales of about 30.6 billion yuan; The cumulative agreed floor area is about 2,544,100 square meters; The cumulative average agreed sales price is about 12,000 yuan per square meter.Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.

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